Monday January 18th
Predicted Crowd Level: 6.
Actual Crowd Level: 6.
Weather: Cool with a high of 61 and a low of 45. This is basically -5 for Florida.
Just a quick look today as I’m behind where I want to be with other work.
The day before, when Animal Kingdom was the most recommended Park with a higher overall crowd level, the overall average wait was 24% lower than today with the morning Extra Magic Hour and its non-recommended status. It’s never good when you see 80 minutes at Everest and triple digit waits at Safaris without downtime as an excuse.
I had mentioned in the post for Sunday that the very rare 8am regular open was a major benefit at Epcot because it allows the people-in-the-know to quickly move through high priority attractions like Test Track and Mission: SPACE and move on to other priority attractions before those that arrive a little later in the morning. Those arriving around 9am end up waiting less too because the guests that arrived at 7:30am have already moved on. Anyway, the overall average ends up being a minute higher today than yesterday, thanks to the extra hour of low waits on Sunday. We’ll actually be taking a very good look at this particular day shortly as I was there for rope drop and went through the 1-day touring plan before moving on to Hollywood Studios and Animal Kingdom. Otherwise, waits are what you would expect from an above-average day with downtime hurting late afternoon waits at Figment and Test Track.
We went from an 8am-10pm day on Sunday to a 9am-8:30pm day on Monday. Add about an hour of downtime at Toy Story Mania in the morning and an hour at Rock ‘n’ Roller Coaster late and you have a recipe for long standby waits. The morning touring plan can still be executed perfectly, but a 53-minute average wait at the five rides by 10:15am is ugly and it’s going to be ugly for a long time.
I’m not sure what happened at Buzz – whether the ride was down or whether it was not pushing wait times for some reason. It was the only Park I didn’t visit Monday as I have plans to visit tomorrow for rope drop and lunch at Skipper Canteen. Stitch was also not pushing wait times for a couple of hours, but I went ahead and added in 5-minute waits throughout since that’s what it would have been if it was operating as usual. Anyway, Magic Kingdom was not recommended and sees its overall average wait higher than the recommended day yesterday, even given significantly fewer people in all four parks combined. Otherwise, nothing particularly noteworthy sticks out. Anna and Elsa are back down to reasonably low waits after yesterday’s unusual high. Winnie the Pooh hits 90 minutes after some downtime in the afternoon, which is unusual. Otherwise, these waits are typical of a slightly above average day at Magic Kingdom compared to 2015.
As expected, overall crowds dropped significantly on the 19th, which we’ll take a look at next. At Animal Kingdom, the average dropped from 31 minutes to 12. Ignoring the evening EMH, Epcot goes from 21 minutes to 17. Studios dropped from 48 minutes to 29. Magic Kingdom continues to struggle with the overall average coming in at just one minute lower.
More to come.