Friday January 29th
Predicted Crowd Level: 6.
Actual Crowd Level: 6.
Weather: High of 66 and low of 50. No precipitation after two straight days of heavy rain all day.
We’ve gone from a crowd level of “1” on Tuesday and Wednesday to a “3” on Thursday and now a “6” on Friday. A “6” is the same level attributed to a couple of spring break crowd weeks over March, so it’s a sizable number as we see an above average number of people visiting. Plus we’re coming off two straight days of heavy rain, which means a lot of people that avoided the Parks entirely over the last two days are ready to get some value out of their $5,000+ vacations. Animal Kingdom and Magic Kingdom are typically the two Parks that get hit the hardest after rain because they’re the two most often avoided. This particular day also falls on a Friday, which means you’ve got everyone that stayed home on Wednesday and Thursday putting off AK until Friday before revisiting Magic Kingdom on Saturday. You could still execute the website’s morning touring plan, but there’s no question that waits are up significantly over the last few days. I think the overall average was eight minutes each of the last two days.
I’ll level with you. Epcot was the most recommended Park and you would expect better wait times because of that, but this is much better than you would expect with an overall wait that’s actually less than yesterday, even given the downpour. Sure, Test Track was down almost all day, which sends its capacity elsewhere, but still. This is easily a “3 out of 10.”
Hollywood Studios’ wait times are relatively low too with short waits after the Star Wars Fireworks during evening Extra Magic Hours bringing the overall average down a bit. The average wait is still 40 minutes by 11:15am and peaks at 44 minutes later in the day, but that’s the reality of the next two years.
Low wait times in the final three hours of operation help pull down the overall average wait time, but the afternoon is pretty rough here. The Park wasn’t recommended with the morning Extra Magic Hour, but it wouldn’t be a whole lot better even if it was recommended as we do come off those two straight days of heavy rain. A 30-minute average by 10:30am isn’t good. But as I’ve said countless times, that’s the difference between a “low crowd day” and a “high crowd day” – what you can reasonably expect to do come 11am. The morning goes well as long as you execute an efficient touring plan.
The crowd level pushes higher over the weekend. We’ll see if those people showed up.