Sunday January 22, 2017
Predicted 4-Park Crowd Level: 6.
Predicted Combined 4-Park Average Wait Time: 113 minutes.
Actual 4-Park Crowd Level: 2.
Actual Combined 4-Park Average Wait Time: 90 minutes.
Weather: High of 84 and low of 66. Tornado warnings and heavy wind/rain expected in the afternoon. Ended up arriving around 6pm with 1+ inches of rain.
Saturday’s actual crowd level ended up being an “8” with a predicted “6,” while Sunday ended up being a “2” with a predicted “6.” For the weekend, we ended up with a combined “10” versus the “12” predicted, almost completely due to the tornado and high wind/rain warnings on Sunday. While the storms didn’t end up materializing until around 6pm, it still kept a lot of people home and drove evening waits down to virtually nonexistent levels. Those that did brave the morning and afternoon should have done quite well and it hopefully made up for the longer waits from the previous day.
The average overall wait time came in three minutes lower than predicted at the website’s most recommended Park with the storm passing over Animal Kingdom right around the time it closed.
Epcot came in two minutes below expected as wet weather closed Test Track around 6:30pm. Wait times earlier in the day were quite manageable.
No major capacity problems and mostly nonexistent waits after 6:30pm caused the actual average wait to fall lower than predicted. You might remember that yesterday’s was 43 minutes with triple digit waits at Tower of Terror and downtime at Rock ‘n’ Roller Coaster.
Magic Kingdom’s overall average wait of 21 minutes is actually less than half of Saturdays’ 43 minutes and further proof of just how much people avoid The Most Magical Place on Earth when the weather is predicted to be ugly. The Park didn’t end up being affected until about 7pm, but high winds/rain were predicted as early as noon. Do note just how many key attractions close with lightning in the area though.
The crowd calendar is expecting below average crowds during most weekdays this week before even heavier crowds are predicted this weekend. That may be mitigated if the weather turns out to be as cool and potentially wet as predicted. It doesn’t have anything to do with the Pro Bowl festivities, which should have a very nominal effect on theme park crowds and wait times.