Tuesday January 24, 2017
Predicted 4-Park Crowd Level: 3.
Sum of Predicted 4-Park Average Wait Times: 91 minutes.
Actual 4-Park Crowd Level: 3.
Sum of Actual 4-Park Average Wait Times: 92 minutes.
Weather: High of 73 and low of 55. A nice day with a cooler evening.
Animal Kingdom wavers between being recommended and not-recommended on Tuesdays. Historical advice would have been that Tuesdays are the best day to visit because it’s early in the week and typically either before or after at least one morning Extra Magic Hour. But Tuesday waits are consistently longer than Wednesdays and Fridays in particular. Typically, a Park is “recommended” if wait times are expected to be at least 20% shorter than the days during that same week with the longest waits and a similar crowd level. Today’s expectation was 13 minutes and it ended up being 17 minutes, again thanks to capacity shortages at Kilimanjaro Safaris in the afternoon. Still, the average wait at all other attractions is under 20 minutes, signifying a good day to visit.
We were expecting a 22-minute wait during regular hours at Epcot and ended up with exactly what. According to the January crowd calendar:
On-site visitors: When Epcot is hosting evening Extra Magic Hours, there is typically a slight uptick in average wait times over the course of the day, which translates to the Park being “not explicitly recommended” since you could experience shorter waits and lower crowds on another day. That’s partially offset by lower wait times at secondary attractions during the evening Extra Magic Hours themselves and the fact that attractions like Living with the Land and Journey into Imagination with Figment don’t close at 7pm like they normally do. Soarin’, Test Track, and Frozen Ever After typically see relatively high wait times during the first hour of the EMH, but wait times after 10:15pm are typically much shorter. If you’re staying for evening Extra Magic Hours, consider visiting secondary attractions or enjoying World Showcase from 9pm to 10pm and then hit the headliners in the last hour. Frozen Ever After is best when you get in line around 10:55pm as Disney will allow anyone in line before 11pm to ride regardless of how long the line is, but you do risk the attraction going down. It may be worth the risk to ride with a relatively short wait, particularly if you have another opportunity to ride.
Off-site visitors: Rope drop crowds and wait times will be similar to other days this week before 11am, but afternoon wait times and crowds will be heavier than recommended days with a similar crowd level due to the number of Disney resort guests streaming in throughout the late morning and afternoon. The day is still more than doable with an efficient touring plan and intelligent FastPass+ choices, but those not planning on taking advantage of the evening EMH may want to pick a day with shorter waits and fewer people in the Park. Dinnertime crowds will be heavier, but not necessarily prohibitive.
That looks to be the case. With the lower overall crowd level, the average wait is the same as yesterday even if peak afternoon wait times are higher and relatively speaking, crowds are heavier. But it’s still “more than doable” as the crowd calendar advice stipulates.
Hollywood Studios was the most recommended Park and the 24-minute overall average may well end up being one of the lowest of the year. You might remember that the wait when it was not recommended yesterday was 42 minutes. Thank a lack of downtime.
Magic Kingdom’s 31-minute average wait is five minutes higher than yesterday’s. Nothing really stands out as being grossly worse than Monday with most attractions seeing an average wait that is a few minutes longer than Monday, though the downtime at two of the Mountain rides early in the day doesn’t help.
Crowds should continue to be below average heading into the weekend. We were originally expecting a big bump on Saturday/Sunday, but it looks like cool weather and rain will keep a lot of people away, pushing wait times and crowds lower.